Cavalry 0-1 York United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.72
6+ Goals
10%
16.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavalry EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY York United EU Bookmakers 27%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +17%
1.18/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.37
-21% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +44%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
19.7 Crosses 17.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavalry
4W-1D-1L
AWAY York United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.33 xG 0.87
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
292 Passes 360
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 5
09.06.2025 Cavalry Cavalry 2-1 HT 1-0 York United York United KAPL
03.05.2025 York United York United 1-2 HT 1-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
21.09.2024 York United York United 0-2 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
17.08.2024 York United York United 1-2 HT 1-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
13.07.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 1-2 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
19.05.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 2-2 HT 1-0 York United York United CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavalry
0-1
AWAY York United
2.53 xG 0.88
64% Ball Possession 36%
26 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
487 Passes 252
90% Pass Accuracy 80%
38 Box Touches 15
48 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cavalry vs York United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York United edged past Cavalry 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Cavalry at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Cavalry had 64% of the ball to York United's 36%, shots finished 26-8, expected goals 2.53 to 0.88 — on chances, Cavalry could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cavalry and 1.17 for York United.

What was the final score of Cavalry vs York United?

Cavalry 0-1 York United in the Kanada - Premier League on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavalry vs York United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cavalry 47%, draw 27%, York United 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cavalry) ✗ BTTS Yes
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