CSKA Moskova 1-3 Zenit St. Petersburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.86
Over
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No Pick
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.07
2-3
41%
1.72
4-5
23%
3.41
6+
8%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.07 — our 28% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Moskova The Market 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg The Market 57%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.19/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.81
-21% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +29%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 78%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
20.6 Crosses 18.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Moskova
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.70 xG 1.54
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
324 Passes 432
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-1 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
14.05.2025 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-0 HT 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
30.04.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 HT 1-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
01.03.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
04.02.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-2 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova HAZ
14.09.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 0-1 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Moskova
1-3
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
1.14 xG 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
322 Passes 424
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW CSKA Moskova vs Zenit St. Petersburg
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Zenit St. Petersburg took care of CSKA Moskova 3-1 away from home. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 47%. At 1.82 (~55%), the BTTS-yes price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

On the day, CSKA Moskova had 44% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 56%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.14 to 1.67.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CSKA Moskova and 1.00 for Zenit St. Petersburg.

CSKA Moskova vs Zenit St. Petersburg Result & Final Score

CSKA Moskova 1-3 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Premier League on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

CSKA Moskova vs Zenit St. Petersburg Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 25%, draw 26%, Zenit St. Petersburg 49%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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