Goytre United 3-2 Caerau (Ely) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - League Cup, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.17
Over 2.5
63%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.32
No
41%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
20%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.8pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.6pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
28%
+9.2pp
63%
Over 2.5
72%
-9.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
72%
-13.1pp
41%
BTTS No
28%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goytre United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Caerau (Ely) EU Bookmakers 40%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-50% / -78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
382 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goytre United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Caerau (Ely)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
09.04.2024 Goytre United Goytre United 6-2 HT 4-2 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) GALFAW
08.09.2023 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) 3-0 HT 1-0 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
POST-MATCH Goytre United vs Caerau (Ely)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goytre United nicked a narrow win over Caerau (Ely) 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Goytre United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Goytre United and 2.50 for Caerau (Ely).

What was the final score of Goytre United vs Caerau (Ely)?

Goytre United 3-2 Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - League Cup on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goytre United vs Caerau (Ely)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Goytre United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Goytre United 45%, draw 20%, Caerau (Ely) 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Goytre United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Goytre United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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