Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 CSKA Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.09
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
52%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.68
Over
40%
1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
40%
4-5
18%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv The Market 20%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Sofia The Market 62%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
0.54 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.68
1.67 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.76
Bad Attackvs comparable teams Average
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Average
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
237 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2W-1D-3L
AWAY CSKA Sofia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 2-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
02.11.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-2 HT 1-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
26.05.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 HT 1-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
03.04.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-2 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
02.10.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-2 HT 0-2 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
27.05.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1-0
AWAY CSKA Sofia
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lokomotiv Plovdiv found just enough to beat CSKA Sofia 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

A gentle 52% lean on CSKA Sofia didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The market had leaned harder still (1.60, ~62%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (60%) came home.

Under the surface, CSKA Sofia saw more of the ball, 68% to 32%, shots finished 6-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Lokomotiv Plovdiv against 1.33 for CSKA Sofia.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia Result & Final Score

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 CSKA Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Plovdiv 20%, draw 28%, CSKA Sofia 52%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CSKA Sofia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5
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