Malacateco 1-2 Mixco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.8pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.1pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malacateco EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Mixco EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.19/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/0.89
-5% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +40%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malacateco
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mixco
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2025 Malacateco Malacateco 2-1 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
13.02.2025 Mixco Mixco 2-1 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
10.11.2024 Mixco Mixco 2-0 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
24.08.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 0-1 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
31.03.2024 Mixco Mixco 0-0 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
19.11.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 3-0 HT 3-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malacateco
1-2
AWAY Mixco
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Malacateco vs Mixco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mixco squeezed past Malacateco 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Malacateco at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Malacateco had 44% of the ball to Mixco's 56%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mixco led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Malacateco and 1.00 for Mixco.

What was the final score of Malacateco vs Mixco?

Malacateco 1-2 Mixco in the Guatemala - National League on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Mixco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malacateco win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 43%, draw 25%, Mixco 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Malacateco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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GUAT More Guatemala - National League
2 Aug 2025
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