Ventforet Kofu 1-3 Montedio Yamagata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.64
Over 2.5
52%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.51
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.22
6+ Goals
10%
21.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
57%
-9.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
43%
+9.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.1pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.30/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.22
+0% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.2 Crosses 15.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ventforet Kofu
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 Passes 400
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.05.2025 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-4 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
28.09.2024 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-2 HT 1-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
16.03.2024 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-1 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
12.11.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 2-1 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
18.02.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-2 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
18.06.2022 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-1 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ventforet Kofu
1-3
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
392 Passes 425
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ventforet Kofu vs Montedio Yamagata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montedio Yamagata got the better of Ventforet Kofu 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Montedio Yamagata found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Ventforet Kofu had 48% of the ball to Montedio Yamagata's 52%, shots finished 15-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ventforet Kofu and 1.00 for Montedio Yamagata.

What was the final score of Ventforet Kofu vs Montedio Yamagata?

Ventforet Kofu 1-3 Montedio Yamagata in the Japan - J2 League on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ventforet Kofu vs Montedio Yamagata?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montedio Yamagata win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ventforet Kofu 36%, draw 26%, Montedio Yamagata 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montedio Yamagata), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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