Montedio Yamagata 0-4 Ventforet Kofu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.6
Over 2.5
36%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.41
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.52
6+ Goals
7%
25.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.41 — our 38% vs market 33.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.2pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.1pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.41/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.28
+10% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.7 Crosses 17.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montedio Yamagata
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
429 Passes 307
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2024 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-2 HT 1-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
16.03.2024 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-1 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
12.11.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 2-1 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
18.02.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-2 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
18.06.2022 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-1 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
12.03.2022 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-1 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montedio Yamagata
0-4
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
371 Passes 377
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Crosses 18
POST-MATCH Montedio Yamagata vs Ventforet Kofu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ventforet Kofu swept aside Montedio Yamagata 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Ventforet Kofu found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Montedio Yamagata had 49% of the ball to Ventforet Kofu's 51%, shots finished 7-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montedio Yamagata had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Montedio Yamagata and 1.00 for Ventforet Kofu.

What was the final score of Montedio Yamagata vs Ventforet Kofu?

Montedio Yamagata 0-4 Ventforet Kofu in the Japan - J2 League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montedio Yamagata vs Ventforet Kofu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montedio Yamagata win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Montedio Yamagata 35%, draw 31%, Ventforet Kofu 34%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Montedio Yamagata), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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