Iwaki 1-2 Vegalta Sendai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.52
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.3
6+ Goals
8%
22.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iwaki EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 45%
-7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
0.93/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.28
-16% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -19%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
243 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.4 Crosses 17.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iwaki
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
247 Passes 168
77% Pass Accuracy 63%
12 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 2-0 HT 1-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
02.06.2024 Iwaki Iwaki 1-2 HT 0-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
08.10.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 2-2 HT 1-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
12.03.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 0-1 HT 0-1 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iwaki
1-2
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 4
206 Passes 300
67% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Iwaki vs Vegalta Sendai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vegalta Sendai nicked a narrow win over Iwaki 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 39% — and on the day Vegalta Sendai made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Iwaki had 45% of the ball to Vegalta Sendai's 55%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vegalta Sendai led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Iwaki and 1.50 for Vegalta Sendai.

What was the final score of Iwaki vs Vegalta Sendai?

Iwaki 1-2 Vegalta Sendai in the Japan - J2 League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iwaki vs Vegalta Sendai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vegalta Sendai win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Iwaki 31%, draw 30%, Vegalta Sendai 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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