Tokushima Vortis 1-1 Jubilo Iwata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.54
6+ Goals
8%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +3%
1.14/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.22
-18% / +127% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.2 Crosses 23.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokushima Vortis
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
22.10.2023 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 0-3 HT 0-2 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
29.04.2023 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 2-3 HT 0-2 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
04.11.2020 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 3-1 HT 2-1 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
25.07.2020 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 0-2 HT 0-2 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
23.08.2015 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 3-1 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
31.05.2015 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 2-2 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokushima Vortis
1-1
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
323 Passes 495
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tokushima Vortis vs Jubilo Iwata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokushima Vortis and Jubilo Iwata couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Tokushima Vortis at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Tokushima Vortis had 42% of the ball to Jubilo Iwata's 58%, shots finished 16-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tokushima Vortis had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Tokushima Vortis and 1.83 for Jubilo Iwata.

What was the final score of Tokushima Vortis vs Jubilo Iwata?

Tokushima Vortis 1-1 Jubilo Iwata in the Japan - J2 League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokushima Vortis vs Jubilo Iwata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokushima Vortis win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tokushima Vortis 43%, draw 28%, Jubilo Iwata 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tokushima Vortis), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tokushima Vortis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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