Sagan Tosu 2-1 Consadole Sapporo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.0
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.6
6+ Goals
12%
15.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 32% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagan Tosu EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -13%
1.01/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.65
-15% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
341 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.5 Crosses 15.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagan Tosu
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.11 xG 1.69
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
338 Passes 377
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 36
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.08.2024 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 5-3 HT 3-0 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP
02.03.2024 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 4-0 HT 1-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
12.08.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-1 HT 0-0 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP
10.06.2023 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 1-1 HT 0-1 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
19.04.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 4-1 HT 1-1 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JLK
08.03.2023 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 0-0 HT 0-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagan Tosu
2-1
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
43% Ball Possession 57%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
324 Passes 428
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sagan Tosu vs Consadole Sapporo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagan Tosu edged past Consadole Sapporo 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Sagan Tosu found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sagan Tosu had 43% of the ball to Consadole Sapporo's 57%, shots finished 19-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Consadole Sapporo led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sagan Tosu and 1.83 for Consadole Sapporo.

What was the final score of Sagan Tosu vs Consadole Sapporo?

Sagan Tosu 2-1 Consadole Sapporo in the Japan - J2 League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagan Tosu vs Consadole Sapporo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Consadole Sapporo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sagan Tosu 35%, draw 26%, Consadole Sapporo 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Consadole Sapporo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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