Kataller Toyama 0-2 Omiya Ardija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.4
6+ Goals
9%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 31% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-0.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 49%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.11/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.21
-1% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses 18.7
0.5 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kataller Toyama
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Omiya Ardija
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
171 Passes 403
66% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.05.2025 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 2-2 HT 1-1 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP2
24.11.2024 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-2 HT 0-2 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
16.06.2024 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 1-1 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kataller Toyama
0-2
AWAY Omiya Ardija
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
459 Passes 269
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kataller Toyama vs Omiya Ardija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija saw off Kataller Toyama 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Omiya Ardija as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kataller Toyama had 61% of the ball to Omiya Ardija's 39%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kataller Toyama had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kataller Toyama and 1.33 for Omiya Ardija.

What was the final score of Kataller Toyama vs Omiya Ardija?

Kataller Toyama 0-2 Omiya Ardija in the Japan - J2 League on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kataller Toyama vs Omiya Ardija?

Before kick-off our model rated an Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kataller Toyama 29%, draw 27%, Omiya Ardija 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Omiya Ardija), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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