Omiya Ardija 2-2 Kataller Toyama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
18.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.42/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.05/0.77
-9% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -96% / +89%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
257 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.7 Crosses 10.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Kataller Toyama
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
403 Passes 171
81% Pass Accuracy 66%
28 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-2 HT 0-2 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
16.06.2024 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 1-1 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija
2-2
AWAY Kataller Toyama
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija vs Kataller Toyama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija and Kataller Toyama shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Omiya Ardija at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Omiya Ardija had 42% of the ball to Kataller Toyama's 58%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kataller Toyama led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Omiya Ardija and 1.50 for Kataller Toyama.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija vs Kataller Toyama?

Omiya Ardija 2-2 Kataller Toyama in the Japan - J2 League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija vs Kataller Toyama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija 45%, draw 28%, Kataller Toyama 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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