Consadole Sapporo 1-0 Sagan Tosu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.47
6+ Goals
11%
13.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 30% vs market 25.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagan Tosu EU Bookmakers 39%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.81/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.98
+53% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -43%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
384 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.9 Crosses 19.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Consadole Sapporo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sagan Tosu
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.69 xG 1.11
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
390 Passes 334
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2025 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 2-1 HT 2-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP2
16.08.2024 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 5-3 HT 3-0 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP
02.03.2024 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 4-0 HT 1-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
12.08.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-1 HT 0-0 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP
10.06.2023 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 1-1 HT 0-1 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
19.04.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 4-1 HT 1-1 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Consadole Sapporo
1-0
AWAY Sagan Tosu
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
302 Passes 411
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Consadole Sapporo nicked a narrow win over Sagan Tosu 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 32% — and on the day Consadole Sapporo made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Consadole Sapporo had 44% of the ball to Sagan Tosu's 56%, shots finished 11-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Consadole Sapporo and 2.00 for Sagan Tosu.

What was the final score of Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu?

Consadole Sapporo 1-0 Sagan Tosu in the Japan - J2 League on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Consadole Sapporo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Consadole Sapporo 40%, draw 27%, Sagan Tosu 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Consadole Sapporo), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Consadole Sapporo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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