Chicago Fire 2-1 Charlotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.33
2-3 Goals
35%
1.98
4-5 Goals
27%
2.56
6+ Goals
15%
6.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.89
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.6
X/1
13%
4.31
X/2
10%
10.95
X/X
8%
6.91
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
18.7
2/2
13%
7.77
2/X
7%
16.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.7 — our 7% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-13.2pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.9pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.8pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chicago Fire EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.93/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.60
-10% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
412 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 83%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
16.9 Crosses 16.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chicago Fire
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Charlotte
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.80 xG 1.27
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
390 Passes 380
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.06.2025 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 3-2 HT 3-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
18.05.2025 Charlotte Charlotte 1-4 HT 0-1 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
03.10.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 4-3 HT 3-1 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
16.05.2024 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 0-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
08.10.2023 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 0-2 HT 0-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
18.05.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 2-1 HT 0-1 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chicago Fire
2-1
AWAY Charlotte
0.94 xG 0.78
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 6
407 Passes 481
23 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Chicago Fire vs Charlotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chicago Fire edged past Charlotte 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chicago Fire as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.94 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlotte led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Chicago Fire and 2.00 for Charlotte.

What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs Charlotte?

Chicago Fire 2-1 Charlotte in the USA - Major League on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chicago Fire vs Charlotte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire 48%, draw 24%, Charlotte 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chicago Fire), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chicago Fire) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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