Chicago Fire vs Charlotte Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chicago Fire v Charlotte — Team-Based Signals
Chicago Fire vs Charlotte Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Charlotte
ABD
2-1
HT 0-1
Chicago Fire
ABD
2-3
HT 2-0
Charlotte
ABD
2-3
HT 2-2
Chicago Fire
ABD
Chicago Fire 0-1 Charlotte — Actual Match Statistics
Charlotte nicked a narrow win over Chicago Fire 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Chicago Fire at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Chicago Fire had 62% of the ball to Charlotte's 38%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.03 to 0.55 — the balance of chances actually favoured Chicago Fire.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Charlotte led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chicago Fire and 2.25 for Charlotte.
What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs Charlotte?
Chicago Fire 0-1 Charlotte in the USA - Major League on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chicago Fire vs Charlotte?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire 41%, draw 27%, Charlotte 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.