Minnesota United 1-1 San Diego — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.0
Draw
34%
3.54
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
24%
2.66
6+ Goals
10%
6.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.62
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
4%
12.25
X/1
12%
5.08
X/2
18%
7.56
X/X
21%
5.74
2/1
6%
20.8
2/2
7%
4.85
2/X
8%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
46%
-12.2pp
34%
Draw
25%
+8.7pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.7pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minnesota United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY San Diego EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.65/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.31
-6% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
346 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 82%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
18.1 Crosses 12.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minnesota United
2W-0D-2L
AWAY San Diego
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.86 xG 1.77
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
255 Passes 585
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 35
8 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2026 San Diego 1-2 HT 1-2 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
25.11.2025 San Diego 1-0 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
14.09.2025 San Diego 1-3 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
15.06.2025 Minnesota United Minnesota United 2-4 HT 2-1 San Diego ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Minnesota United
1-1
AWAY San Diego
1.06 xG 1.79
14 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
269 Passes 658
24 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Minnesota United vs San Diego
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Minnesota United and San Diego shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the USA - Major League on 2 Aug 2026. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.06 to 1.79.

Across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Minnesota United and 1.75 for San Diego.

What was the final score of Minnesota United vs San Diego?

Minnesota United 1-1 San Diego in the USA - Major League on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minnesota United vs San Diego?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minnesota United win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Minnesota United 34%, draw 34%, San Diego 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/34/33) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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