San Diego vs Minnesota United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Diego v Minnesota United — Team-Based Signals
San Diego vs Minnesota United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
San Diego 1-2 Minnesota United — Actual Match Statistics
Minnesota United squeezed past San Diego 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was San Diego at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, San Diego had 64% of the ball to Minnesota United's 36%, shots finished 17-21.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, San Diego had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for San Diego and 1.67 for Minnesota United.
What was the final score of San Diego vs Minnesota United?
San Diego 1-2 Minnesota United in the USA - Major League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Diego vs Minnesota United?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Diego win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split San Diego 52%, draw 24%, Minnesota United 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (San Diego) went the other way.