Inter Miami 2-2 New York Red Bulls — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.45
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
3.68
Over 2.5
70%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.39
No
33%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
22%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
64%
-0.3pp
17%
Draw
18%
-1.5pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+1.8pp
30%
Under 2.5
24%
+6.6pp
70%
Over 2.5
76%
-6.6pp
67%
BTTS Yes
68%
-0.5pp
33%
BTTS No
32%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
2.19/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.68
+30% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
424 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 81%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
13.6 Crosses 15.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Miami
4W-0D-2L
AWAY New York Red Bulls
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.94 xG 1.32
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
496 Passes 321
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2025 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-5 HT 1-3 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
04.05.2025 Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-1 HT 3-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
05.05.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 6-2 HT 0-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
23.03.2024 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 4-0 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
27.08.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 0-2 HT 0-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
01.06.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 0-1 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami
2-2
AWAY New York Red Bulls
2.55 xG 1.58
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 3
434 Passes 343
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
35 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami and New York Red Bulls couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Inter Miami carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (67%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Inter Miami had 55% of the ball to New York Red Bulls's 45%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 2.55 to 1.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Miami had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Inter Miami and 1.50 for New York Red Bulls.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls?

Inter Miami 2-2 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 64%, draw 17%, New York Red Bulls 19%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter Miami) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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