FC Dallas vs St. Louis City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Dallas v St. Louis City — Team-Based Signals
FC Dallas vs St. Louis City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
FC Dallas
ABD
2-0
HT 0-0
St. Louis City
ABD
FC Dallas 1-1 St. Louis City — Actual Match Statistics
FC Dallas and St. Louis City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was FC Dallas at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.
On the day, FC Dallas had 41% of the ball to St. Louis City's 59%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.44 to 1.17.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Dallas had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Dallas and 0.50 for St. Louis City.
What was the final score of FC Dallas vs St. Louis City?
FC Dallas 1-1 St. Louis City in the USA - Major League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Dallas vs St. Louis City?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Dallas win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FC Dallas 51%, draw 22%, St. Louis City 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Dallas), Over 2.5 went the other way.