Charlotte 1-2 Nashville SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.53/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.18
+7% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +36%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 80%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
18.0 Crosses 15.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Nashville SC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.98 xG 0.94
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
419 Passes 352
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
05.04.2025 Charlotte Charlotte 2-1 HT 0-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
12.05.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 1-0 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
17.03.2024 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-1 HT 2-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
03.09.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 1-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
21.05.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 1-2 HT 1-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte
1-2
AWAY Nashville SC
2.24 xG 0.54
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
424 Passes 522
90% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Charlotte vs Nashville SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nashville SC edged past Charlotte 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Nashville SC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Charlotte had 45% of the ball to Nashville SC's 55%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 2.24 to 0.54 — the balance of chances actually favoured Charlotte.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nashville SC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Charlotte and 1.33 for Nashville SC.

What was the final score of Charlotte vs Nashville SC?

Charlotte 1-2 Nashville SC in the USA - Major League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte vs Nashville SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 40%, draw 26%, Nashville SC 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Charlotte), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Charlotte) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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