Nashville SC 2-1 Charlotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 27% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.36
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
15%
4.57
X/2
8%
8.98
X/X
14%
5.29
2/1
9%
22.45
2/2
11%
6.71
2/X
7%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
2.00/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.53
+4% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
393 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 80%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
19.9 Crosses 14.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nashville SC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Charlotte
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.29 xG 1.14
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
330 Passes 413
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Charlotte Charlotte 2-1 HT 0-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
12.05.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 1-0 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
17.03.2024 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-1 HT 2-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
03.09.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 1-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
21.05.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 1-2 HT 1-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
10.07.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 4-1 HT 1-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nashville SC
2-1
AWAY Charlotte
0.51 xG 1.15
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 5
357 Passes 470
85% Pass Accuracy 89%
29 Box Touches 21
31 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nashville SC vs Charlotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nashville SC edged past Charlotte 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nashville SC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Nashville SC had 45% of the ball to Charlotte's 55%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.51 to 1.15 — the balance of chances actually favoured Charlotte.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlotte led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nashville SC and 1.67 for Charlotte.

What was the final score of Nashville SC vs Charlotte?

Nashville SC 2-1 Charlotte in the USA - Major League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs Charlotte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 46%, draw 28%, Charlotte 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nashville SC) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nashville SC)
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