New York Red Bulls 3-2 Orlando City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
30%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.17
Over 2.5
59%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.32
No
42%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.58
2-3 Goals
41%
2.26
4-5 Goals
27%
2.33
6+ Goals
12%
4.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.21
1/2
6%
20.65
1/X
7%
12.0
X/1
13%
6.28
X/2
13%
6.47
X/X
13%
6.82
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.15
2/2
11%
3.37
2/X
7%
12.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.15 — our 8% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.8pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
30%
Away Win
37%
-6.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
28%
+13.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
72%
-13.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
72%
-13.5pp
42%
BTTS No
28%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando City EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.64/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.32
-14% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
17.6 Crosses 14.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York Red Bulls
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Orlando City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.93 xG 1.25
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
325 Passes 411
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2026 Orlando City Orlando City 1-2 HT 0-2 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
12.04.2025 Orlando City Orlando City 0-0 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
15.03.2025 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-2 HT 1-2 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
01.12.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 0-1 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
02.06.2024 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-0 HT 1-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
31.03.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 1-1 HT 0-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York Red Bulls
3-2
AWAY Orlando City
3.60 xG 3.68
19 Total Shots 20
8 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
333 Passes 531
37 Box Touches 32
9 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City
Match summary & frequently asked questions

New York Red Bulls edged past Orlando City 3-2 in the USA - Major League on 2 Aug 2026. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 59% and both teams to score was close to even at 58%.

On the day, shots finished 19-20, expected goals 3.60 to 3.68.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls have the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for New York Red Bulls and 0.67 for Orlando City.

What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City?

New York Red Bulls 3-2 Orlando City in the USA - Major League on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City?

Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 43%, draw 27%, Orlando City 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York Red Bulls), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (New York Red Bulls) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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