Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Orlando City v New York Red Bulls — Team-Based Signals
Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Orlando City
ABD
Orlando City 1-2 New York Red Bulls — Actual Match Statistics
New York Red Bulls edged past Orlando City 2-1 away from home in the USA - Major League on 22 Feb 2026. Half-time: 0-2.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.
On the day, Orlando City had 48% of the ball to New York Red Bulls's 52%, shots finished 17-22, expected goals 2.24 to 4.64.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Orlando City and 0.83 for New York Red Bulls.
What was the final score of Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls?
Orlando City 1-2 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls?
Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 48%, draw 26%, New York Red Bulls 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Orlando City) went the other way.