DC United vs Philadelphia Union Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
DC United v Philadelphia Union — Team-Based Signals
DC United vs Philadelphia Union Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-3
Philadelphia Union
ABD
0-0
HT 0-0
DC United
CONLK
DC United 1-0 Philadelphia Union — Actual Match Statistics
DC United squeezed past Philadelphia Union 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day DC United made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, DC United had 49% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 51%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 1.17 to 0.54.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for DC United and 3.00 for Philadelphia Union.
What was the final score of DC United vs Philadelphia Union?
DC United 1-0 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for DC United vs Philadelphia Union?
Before kick-off our model rated an Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split DC United 34%, draw 26%, Philadelphia Union 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Philadelphia Union), BTTS Yes went the other way.