Austin vs Minnesota United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Austin v Minnesota United — Team-Based Signals
Austin vs Minnesota United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
HT 0-2
Austin
ABD
Austin 2-2 Minnesota United — Actual Match Statistics
Austin and Minnesota United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Austin had 57% of the ball to Minnesota United's 43%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.71 to 1.57.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austin had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Austin and 1.33 for Minnesota United.
What was the final score of Austin vs Minnesota United?
Austin 2-2 Minnesota United in the USA - Major League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Austin vs Minnesota United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Austin win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Austin 38%, draw 27%, Minnesota United 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Austin) went the other way.