Nashville SC 4-1 New England Revolution — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-5.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.9pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.84/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/2.13
+3% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
19.8 Crosses 16.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nashville SC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY New England Revolution
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.78 xG 0.86
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
400 Passes 390
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.06.2025 New England Revolution New England Revolution 2-3 HT 1-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
23.02.2025 Nashville SC Nashville SC 0-0 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
29.09.2024 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-0 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
07.08.2024 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-1 HT 1-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC CONLK
02.06.2024 Nashville SC Nashville SC 1-2 HT 0-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
15.10.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 3-2 HT 3-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nashville SC
4-1
AWAY New England Revolution
2.77 xG 0.85
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
539 Passes 440
88% Pass Accuracy 90%
29 Box Touches 12
10 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nashville SC vs New England Revolution
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nashville SC cruised past New England Revolution 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nashville SC as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Nashville SC had 55% of the ball to New England Revolution's 45%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 2.77 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nashville SC and 1.33 for New England Revolution.

What was the final score of Nashville SC vs New England Revolution?

Nashville SC 4-1 New England Revolution in the USA - Major League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs New England Revolution?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 55%, draw 24%, New England Revolution 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nashville SC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nashville SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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