Vancouver Whitecaps 1-0 Real Salt Lake — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.33
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.61
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
71%
-3.2pp
17%
Draw
18%
-0.8pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+3.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.7pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -6%
2.31/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.91
+6% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
422 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
34.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
23.4 Crosses 15.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Real Salt Lake
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.15 xG 1.18
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
392 Passes 344
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
25.05.2025 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 2-3 HT 2-2 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
04.05.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
20.10.2024 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
24.03.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-2 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
24.09.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 2-1 HT 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
26.02.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-2 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
1-0
AWAY Real Salt Lake
1.36 xG 0.66
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
468 Passes 294
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vancouver Whitecaps vs Real Salt Lake
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver Whitecaps edged past Real Salt Lake 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vancouver Whitecaps as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vancouver Whitecaps had 59% of the ball to Real Salt Lake's 41%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.36 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Salt Lake led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vancouver Whitecaps and 1.83 for Real Salt Lake.

What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs Real Salt Lake?

Vancouver Whitecaps 1-0 Real Salt Lake in the USA - Major League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Real Salt Lake?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Vancouver Whitecaps 67%, draw 17%, Real Salt Lake 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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