Real Salt Lake 2-3 Vancouver Whitecaps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.3pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.1pp
31%
Away Win
35%
-3.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 38%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +26%
1.38/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.05
-14% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +50%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
19.6 Crosses 20.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Salt Lake
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.20 xG 1.59
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
355 Passes 376
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 28
21 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.05.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
20.10.2024 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
24.03.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-2 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
24.09.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 2-1 HT 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
26.02.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-2 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
21.08.2022 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 1-1 HT 0-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Salt Lake
2-3
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
0.98 xG 2.99
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
274 Passes 389
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver Whitecaps edged past Real Salt Lake 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Vancouver Whitecaps found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Salt Lake had 44% of the ball to Vancouver Whitecaps's 56%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.98 to 2.99 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Vancouver Whitecaps's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Salt Lake had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Real Salt Lake and 1.17 for Vancouver Whitecaps.

What was the final score of Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Real Salt Lake 2-3 Vancouver Whitecaps in the USA - Major League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Salt Lake win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Real Salt Lake 38%, draw 31%, Vancouver Whitecaps 31%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Salt Lake), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Salt Lake) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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