Houston Dynamo vs Chicago Fire Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Houston Dynamo v Chicago Fire — Team-Based Signals
Houston Dynamo vs Chicago Fire Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
HT 1-2
Houston Dynamo
ABDK
2-0
HT 2-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
4-0
HT 3-0
Houston Dynamo
ABD
0-1
HT 0-1
Chicago Fire
ABD
2-3
HT 2-1
Houston Dynamo
ABD
Houston Dynamo 2-1 Chicago Fire — Actual Match Statistics
Houston Dynamo edged past Chicago Fire 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Houston Dynamo as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Houston Dynamo had 43% of the ball to Chicago Fire's 57%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 1.18 to 0.84.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Houston Dynamo and 1.67 for Chicago Fire.
What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs Chicago Fire?
Houston Dynamo 2-1 Chicago Fire in the USA - Major League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Houston Dynamo vs Chicago Fire?
Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Houston Dynamo 45%, draw 23%, Chicago Fire 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Houston Dynamo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.