Brisbane Roar II 2-0 Moreton City Excelsior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
4.48
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
61%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
39%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
19%
-4.1pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.8pp
61%
Away Win
62%
-0.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.2pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 66%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.98/2.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.50/1.53
-20% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -25%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
240 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.6 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar II
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Moreton City Excelsior
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
25.04.2026 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior 6-0 HT 3-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
21.06.2025 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior 1-1 HT 1-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
22.03.2025 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 1-2 HT 1-0 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior AVSQ
02.06.2024 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 1-3 HT 1-3 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior AVNPL
02.03.2024 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior 3-2 HT 0-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar II vs Moreton City Excelsior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Roar II beat Moreton City Excelsior 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Moreton City Excelsior carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Moreton City Excelsior led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brisbane Roar II and 3.00 for Moreton City Excelsior.

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar II vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Brisbane Roar II 2-0 Moreton City Excelsior in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar II vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Before kick-off our model rated an Moreton City Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar II 15%, draw 24%, Moreton City Excelsior 61%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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