Moreton City Excelsior 1-1 Brisbane Roar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.49
No
51%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-10.2pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.6pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
63%
-14.0pp
51%
BTTS No
37%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 19%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.02/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.55
-16% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -14%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 11.5
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreton City Excelsior
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Brisbane Roar II
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
22.03.2025 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 1-2 HT 1-0 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior AVSQ
02.06.2024 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 1-3 HT 1-3 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior AVNPL
02.03.2024 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior 3-2 HT 0-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane Roar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreton City Excelsior and Brisbane Roar II shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Moreton City Excelsior carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Moreton City Excelsior had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Moreton City Excelsior and 1.33 for Brisbane Roar II.

What was the final score of Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane Roar II?

Moreton City Excelsior 1-1 Brisbane Roar II in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane Roar II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moreton City Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Moreton City Excelsior 56%, draw 23%, Brisbane Roar II 21%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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21 Jun 2025
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