Gold Coast Knights 5-2 Brisbane City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒10:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-10.6pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.5pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+7.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.9pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane City EU Bookmakers 26%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.77/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.90
-38% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.9 Crosses 16.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gold Coast Knights
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Brisbane City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.38 xG 0.90
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
246 Passes 511
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.03.2025 Brisbane City Brisbane City 0-1 HT 0-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
20.07.2024 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-2 HT 0-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
19.04.2024 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 3-1 HT 2-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
16.07.2023 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 0-1 HT 0-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
08.04.2023 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-2 HT 1-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
10.08.2022 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-2 HT 1-2 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
POST-MATCH Gold Coast Knights vs Brisbane City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gold Coast Knights swept aside Brisbane City 5-2. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gold Coast Knights as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gold Coast Knights had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gold Coast Knights and 0.83 for Brisbane City.

What was the final score of Gold Coast Knights vs Brisbane City?

Gold Coast Knights 5-2 Brisbane City in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gold Coast Knights vs Brisbane City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gold Coast Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gold Coast Knights 46%, draw 24%, Brisbane City 30%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gold Coast Knights), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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