JFK Ventspils 1-2 Smiltene — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
11%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
57%
+7.7pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.4pp
11%
Away Win
20%
-9.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.1pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JFK Ventspils EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Smiltene EU Bookmakers 23%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.24/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.74
-48% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
360 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JFK Ventspils
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Smiltene
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
3 Corners 3
28.03.2026 Smiltene Smiltene 3-3 HT 0-1 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
20.09.2025 Smiltene Smiltene 2-2 HT 1-0 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
11.05.2025 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 2-1 HT 2-0 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
31.08.2024 Smiltene Smiltene 0-2 HT 0-2 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
05.05.2024 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 2-0 HT 1-0 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
27.08.2023 Smiltene Smiltene 1-1 HT 0-1 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
POST-MATCH JFK Ventspils vs Smiltene
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smiltene edged past JFK Ventspils 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. JFK Ventspils carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, JFK Ventspils had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for JFK Ventspils and 1.17 for Smiltene.

What was the final score of JFK Ventspils vs Smiltene?

JFK Ventspils 1-2 Smiltene in the Latvia - 1st Division on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JFK Ventspils vs Smiltene?

Before kick-off our model rated a JFK Ventspils win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split JFK Ventspils 65%, draw 24%, Smiltene 11%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (JFK Ventspils) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JFK Ventspils) ✓ Over 2.5
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