Katowice 3-1 Radomiak Radom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 29% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.74
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
12%
4.79
X/2
11%
7.24
X/X
13%
4.87
2/1
9%
23.5
2/2
12%
5.2
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.2pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katowice EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 31%
+17% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / -4%
1.64/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.52
+26% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
22.7 Crosses 17.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katowice
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Radomiak Radom
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.37 xG 1.27
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
232 Passes 302
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 31
21 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 4
08.03.2026 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-1 HT 0-1 Katowice Katowice POL
29.08.2025 Katowice Katowice 3-2 HT 2-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
06.12.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-1 HT 0-1 Katowice Katowice POL
20.07.2024 Katowice Katowice 1-2 HT 0-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katowice
3-1
AWAY Radomiak Radom
1.80 xG 0.73
25 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
369 Passes 316
50 Box Touches 15
43 Crosses 5
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Katowice vs Radomiak Radom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katowice got the better of Radomiak Radom 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Katowice as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, shots finished 25-10, expected goals 1.80 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Katowice had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Katowice and 1.25 for Radomiak Radom.

What was the final score of Katowice vs Radomiak Radom?

Katowice 3-1 Radomiak Radom in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katowice vs Radomiak Radom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katowice win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Katowice 41%, draw 27%, Radomiak Radom 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katowice) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Katowice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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