Radomiak Radom 0-1 Katowice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 29% vs market 21.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.83
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1 EV+ ✗
23%
4.95
X/2
6%
7.05
X/X
13%
4.98
2/1
7%
23.5
2/2
16%
4.89
2/X
6%
13.15
Value flag · X/1 at 4.95 — our 23% vs market 15.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Katowice EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.58/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.60
-19% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
24.8 Crosses 17.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomiak Radom
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Katowice
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.27 xG 1.52
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
281 Passes 260
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 24
5 Yellow Cards 2
29.08.2025 Katowice Katowice 3-2 HT 2-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
06.12.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-1 HT 0-1 Katowice Katowice POL
20.07.2024 Katowice Katowice 1-2 HT 0-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomiak Radom
0-1
AWAY Katowice
1.27 xG 0.93
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
366 Passes 149
77% Pass Accuracy 61%
28 Box Touches 17
37 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Radomiak Radom vs Katowice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katowice squeezed past Radomiak Radom 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Radomiak Radom at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Radomiak Radom had 66% of the ball to Katowice's 34%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.27 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Radomiak Radom and 1.67 for Katowice.

What was the final score of Radomiak Radom vs Katowice?

Radomiak Radom 0-1 Katowice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radomiak Radom vs Katowice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radomiak Radom win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Radomiak Radom 48%, draw 24%, Katowice 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Radomiak Radom), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radomiak Radom) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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