Legia Varşova 1-0 Cracovia Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.74
2-3 Goals
36%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
3.77
6+ Goals
8%
17.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 35% vs market 28.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.51
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
16%
4.33
X/2
11%
8.14
X/X
16%
4.39
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
11%
6.63
2/X
8%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-7.8pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.2pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 26%
-10% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.48/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.13
-32% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +38%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
22.6 Crosses 16.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Legia Varşova
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.90 xG 1.35
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
390 Passes 235
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2025 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 2-1 HT 1-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
18.05.2025 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 3-1 HT 1-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
23.11.2024 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 3-2 HT 3-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
20.12.2023 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 2-0 HT 1-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
17.12.2023 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-0 HT 0-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
12.02.2023 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-2 HT 0-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legia Varşova
1-0
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
0.77 xG 0.55
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
267 Passes 422
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Legia Varşova vs Cracovia Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legia Varşova edged past Cracovia Krakow 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Legia Varşova as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Legia Varşova had 41% of the ball to Cracovia Krakow's 59%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.77 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cracovia Krakow led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Legia Varşova and 1.83 for Cracovia Krakow.

What was the final score of Legia Varşova vs Cracovia Krakow?

Legia Varşova 1-0 Cracovia Krakow in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legia Varşova vs Cracovia Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 42%, draw 31%, Cracovia Krakow 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Legia Varşova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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