Cracovia Krakow 2-1 Legia Varşova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.1
2-3 Goals
35%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
3.35
6+ Goals
13%
13.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.93
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
5%
13.5
X/1
11%
5.74
X/2
11%
5.29
X/X
13%
4.76
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
18%
3.47
2/X
6%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.7pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 42%
+6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -23%
1.39/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.23
+9% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
19.8 Crosses 22.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cracovia Krakow
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Legia Varşova
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.61 xG 1.84
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
199 Passes 419
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.05.2025 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 3-1 HT 1-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
23.11.2024 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 3-2 HT 3-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
20.12.2023 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 2-0 HT 1-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
17.12.2023 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-0 HT 0-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
12.02.2023 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-2 HT 0-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
29.07.2022 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 3-0 HT 1-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cracovia Krakow
2-1
AWAY Legia Varşova
0.20 xG 1.48
56% Ball Possession 44%
2 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
388 Passes 275
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
7 Box Touches 24
8 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Varşova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cracovia Krakow nicked a narrow win over Legia Varşova 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Cracovia Krakow made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Cracovia Krakow had 56% of the ball to Legia Varşova's 44%, shots finished 2-13, expected goals 0.20 to 1.48 — the balance of chances actually favoured Legia Varşova.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cracovia Krakow had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cracovia Krakow and 1.33 for Legia Varşova.

What was the final score of Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Varşova?

Cracovia Krakow 2-1 Legia Varşova in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Varşova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cracovia Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cracovia Krakow 40%, draw 25%, Legia Varşova 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cracovia Krakow), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cracovia Krakow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL More Poland - Ekstraklasa
31 Aug 2025
18:30 Lech Poznan vs Widzew Lodz Analysis →
18:30 Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Lechia Gdansk Analysis →
21:15 Pogon Szczecin vs Rakow Czestochowa Analysis →