Lech Poznan 2-1 Widzew Lodz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
21%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.14
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
3.32
6+ Goals
9%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 30% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.53
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
22%
4.44
X/2
6%
7.76
X/X
12%
4.84
2/1
11%
23.65
2/2
11%
5.94
2/X
8%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
49%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
21%
Away Win
25%
-4.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lech Poznan EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
1.59/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.40
+5% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 79%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
20.7 Crosses 18.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lech Poznan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Widzew Lodz
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.38 xG 1.48
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
470 Passes 278
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2025 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 4-1 HT 2-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
27.07.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 2-1 HT 2-1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
19.05.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-1 HT 1-1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
26.11.2023 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1-3 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
19.03.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-2 HT 0-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
04.09.2022 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 2-0 HT 0-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lech Poznan
2-1
AWAY Widzew Lodz
1.60 xG 1.36
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
344 Passes 318
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lech Poznan vs Widzew Lodz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lech Poznan edged past Widzew Lodz 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lech Poznan as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Lech Poznan had 51% of the ball to Widzew Lodz's 49%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.60 to 1.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lech Poznan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Lech Poznan and 1.33 for Widzew Lodz.

What was the final score of Lech Poznan vs Widzew Lodz?

Lech Poznan 2-1 Widzew Lodz in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lech Poznan vs Widzew Lodz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Lech Poznan 53%, draw 26%, Widzew Lodz 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lech Poznan), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lech Poznan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL More Poland - Ekstraklasa
31 Aug 2025
18:30 Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Lechia Gdansk Analysis →
21:15 Pogon Szczecin vs Rakow Czestochowa Analysis →
21:15 Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Varşova Analysis →