Pogon Szczecin 2-0 Rakow Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
23%
3.62
6+ Goals
12%
15.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.69
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
8%
6.36
X/2
11%
4.88
X/X
14%
4.43
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
24%
3.13
2/X
5%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.4pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Szczecin EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 46%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.50/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.05
+6% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.2
19.1 Crosses 21.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Szczecin
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.01 xG 1.01
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
377 Passes 281
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2025 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 1-0 HT 1-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
20.10.2024 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-0 HT 0-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
11.05.2024 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 2-1 HT 2-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
12.11.2023 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 1-1 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
05.03.2023 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 0-2 HT 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
09.11.2022 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 0-1 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Szczecin
2-0
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
0.83 xG 0.87
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 14
256 Passes 329
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 38
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pogon Szczecin vs Rakow Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Szczecin got the better of Rakow Czestochowa 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Rakow Czestochowa at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pogon Szczecin had 45% of the ball to Rakow Czestochowa's 55%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.83 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rakow Czestochowa led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Pogon Szczecin and 1.17 for Rakow Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Pogon Szczecin vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Pogon Szczecin 2-0 Rakow Czestochowa in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Szczecin vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Pogon Szczecin 31%, draw 27%, Rakow Czestochowa 43%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✗ BTTS Yes
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