Legia Varşova 3-1 Zaglebie Lubin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.45
6+ Goals
11%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 28% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.16
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
17%
4.13
X/2
9%
9.62
X/X
13%
4.87
2/1
11%
23.95
2/2
9%
7.93
2/X
7%
16.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-6.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.2pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 22%
+7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.75/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.59
-2% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
402 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
22.4 Crosses 16.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Legia Varşova
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.56 xG 1.09
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
346 Passes 294
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2026 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 1-0 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
19.10.2025 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 3-1 HT 2-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
08.12.2024 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0-3 HT 0-3 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
20.07.2024 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-0 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
25.05.2024 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-1 HT 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
03.12.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0-3 HT 0-2 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legia Varşova
3-1
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
1.70 xG 1.03
22 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
374 Passes 206
38 Box Touches 17
33 Crosses 10
POST-MATCH Legia Varşova vs Zaglebie Lubin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legia Varşova saw off Zaglebie Lubin 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Legia Varşova as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, shots finished 22-13, expected goals 1.70 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Legia Varşova and 0.67 for Zaglebie Lubin.

What was the final score of Legia Varşova vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Legia Varşova 3-1 Zaglebie Lubin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legia Varşova vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 49%, draw 27%, Zaglebie Lubin 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Legia Varşova) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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