Legia Varşova vs Zaglebie Lubin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Legia Varşova v Zaglebie Lubin — Team-Based Signals
Legia Varşova vs Zaglebie Lubin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-2
Legia Varşova
POL
1-2
HT 0-1
Legia Varşova
POL
Legia Varşova 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin — Actual Match Statistics
Legia Varşova edged past Zaglebie Lubin 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Legia Varşova as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Legia Varşova had 62% of the ball to Zaglebie Lubin's 38%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.80 to 0.46 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Legia Varşova's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Legia Varşova and 0.83 for Zaglebie Lubin.
What was the final score of Legia Varşova vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Legia Varşova 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Legia Varşova vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 57%, draw 23%, Zaglebie Lubin 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Legia Varşova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.