Katowice vs Motor Lublin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Katowice v Motor Lublin — Team-Based Signals
Katowice vs Motor Lublin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Katowice
POL1
2-1
HT 1-0
Katowice
POL2
Katowice 3-2 Motor Lublin — Actual Match Statistics
Katowice nicked a narrow win over Motor Lublin 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Katowice as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (61%) came in.
On the day, Katowice had 45% of the ball to Motor Lublin's 55%, shots finished 22-16, expected goals 2.89 to 1.67 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Katowice's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Katowice and 1.33 for Motor Lublin.
What was the final score of Katowice vs Motor Lublin?
Katowice 3-2 Motor Lublin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Katowice vs Motor Lublin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Katowice win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Katowice 46%, draw 23%, Motor Lublin 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katowice), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.