FC Akhmat Grozny 1-2 Spartak Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.25
2-3 Goals
45%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.38
6+ Goals
8%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 28% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.74
1/2
6%
23.95
1/X
11%
13.75
X/1
10%
7.68
X/2
16%
4.64
X/X
10%
4.69
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
21%
2.62
2/X
6%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-4.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.8pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 51%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -17%
1.25/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.98
-18% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -17%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
262 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
16.9 Crosses 24.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Spartak Moskova
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.76 xG 1.27
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
196 Passes 413
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2026 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-1 HT 3-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
09.11.2025 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-2 HT 0-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
30.03.2025 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
11.08.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
03.12.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-1 HT 1-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
26.08.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
1-2
AWAY Spartak Moskova
0.88 xG 0.83
4 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
133 Passes 508
4 Box Touches 20
5 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ FC Akhmat Grozny vs Spartak Moskova
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Spartak Moskova edged past FC Akhmat Grozny 2-1 away from home in the Russia - Premier League on 2 Aug 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, shots finished 4-11, expected goals 0.88 to 0.83.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FC Akhmat Grozny and 1.00 for Spartak Moskova.

What was the final score of FC Akhmat Grozny vs Spartak Moskova?

FC Akhmat Grozny 1-2 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Akhmat Grozny vs Spartak Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Akhmat Grozny 30%, draw 28%, Spartak Moskova 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Moskova) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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