Krasnodar vs Fakel Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Krasnodar v Fakel — Team-Based Signals
Krasnodar vs Fakel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Krasnodar
RUS
3-3
HT 1-2
Krasnodar
RUS
2-2
HT 2-1
Fakel
RUS
Krasnodar 3-2 Fakel — Actual Match Statistics
Krasnodar nicked a narrow win over Fakel 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Krasnodar as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.82 to 2.10 — the balance of chances actually favoured Fakel.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Krasnodar and 0.83 for Fakel.
What was the final score of Krasnodar vs Fakel?
Krasnodar 3-2 Fakel in the Russia - Premier League on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Krasnodar vs Fakel?
Before kick-off our model rated a Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Krasnodar 60%, draw 23%, Fakel 17%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.