New Mexico United 1-0 Colorado Springs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.4
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.15
6+ Goals
12%
11.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
32%
+9.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
34%
Away Win
42%
-7.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.8pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New Mexico United EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -1%
1.15/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.31
-1% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
11.7 Crosses 16.7
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New Mexico United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Colorado Springs
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.50 xG 1.52
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
326 Passes 252
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2026 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 4-0 HT 3-0 New Mexico United New Mexico United USLKP
28.03.2026 New Mexico United New Mexico United 3-2 HT 0-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
25.09.2025 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 1-2 HT 1-0 New Mexico United New Mexico United USLP
29.06.2025 New Mexico United New Mexico United 2-2 HT 2-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLKP
08.06.2025 New Mexico United New Mexico United 1-1 HT 1-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
25.08.2024 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 0-1 HT 0-1 New Mexico United New Mexico United USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New Mexico United
1-0
AWAY Colorado Springs
0.40 xG 1.32
6 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 14
297 Passes 274
9 Box Touches 37
11 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH New Mexico United vs Colorado Springs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New Mexico United nicked a narrow win over Colorado Springs 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had New Mexico United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, shots finished 6-21, expected goals 0.40 to 1.32 — on chances, Colorado Springs could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New Mexico United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for New Mexico United and 1.67 for Colorado Springs.

What was the final score of New Mexico United vs Colorado Springs?

New Mexico United 1-0 Colorado Springs in the USL Championship on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New Mexico United vs Colorado Springs?

Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 42%, draw 24%, Colorado Springs 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New Mexico United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (New Mexico United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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