Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tampa Bay Rowdies v Louisville City — Team-Based Signals
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-3
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
Tampa Bay Rowdies 5-4 Louisville City — Actual Match Statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies edged past Louisville City 5-4 in the USL Championship on 2 Aug 2026. It was 0-3 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 1.44 to 1.77.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 1.67 for Louisville City.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City?
Tampa Bay Rowdies 5-4 Louisville City in the USL Championship on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 44%, draw 27%, Louisville City 29%. The final score 5-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.