Lexington vs Monterey Bay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lexington v Monterey Bay — Team-Based Signals
Lexington vs Monterey Bay Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Lexington 3-2 Monterey Bay — Actual Match Statistics
Lexington edged past Monterey Bay 3-2 in the USL Championship on 2 Aug 2026. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.07 to 0.61.
Across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lexington and 1.00 for Monterey Bay.
What was the final score of Lexington vs Monterey Bay?
Lexington 3-2 Monterey Bay in the USL Championship on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lexington vs Monterey Bay?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Lexington 52%, draw 25%, Monterey Bay 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lexington), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.