Louisville City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Louisville City v Tampa Bay Rowdies — Team-Based Signals
Louisville City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-3
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
2-1
HT 1-0
Louisville City
USLP
Louisville City 0-2 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Actual Match Statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies got the better of Louisville City 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Louisville City at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.30 to 1.40.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Louisville City and 1.83 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.
What was the final score of Louisville City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Louisville City 0-2 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 31/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Louisville City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 51%, draw 22%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Louisville City), BTTS Yes went the other way.