Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-0 Miami FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 31 May 2026

📅31/05/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
16%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.47
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 28% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
60%
+0.7pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.6pp
16%
Away Win
18%
-2.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Miami FC EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
1.60/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.73
-15% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
19.0 Crosses 14.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Miami FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.23 xG 0.78
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
320 Passes 376
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2025 Miami FC Miami FC 3-1 HT 0-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
30.07.2025 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-1 HT 0-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
06.10.2024 Miami FC Miami FC 0-4 HT 0-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
05.05.2024 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 HT 1-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
17.09.2023 Miami FC Miami FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
25.03.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-1 HT 0-1 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2-0
AWAY Miami FC
2.08 xG 0.18
17 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
342 Passes 415
31 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Miami FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pittsburgh Riverhounds got the better of Miami FC 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pittsburgh Riverhounds as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 2.08 to 0.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 1.00 for Miami FC.

What was the final score of Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Miami FC?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-0 Miami FC in the USL Championship on 31/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Miami FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Pittsburgh Riverhounds 60%, draw 24%, Miami FC 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds) ✓ Under 2.5
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