El Paso Locomotive 1-4 Lexington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 31 May 2026

📅31/05/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.14
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
2.79
6+ Goals
10%
8.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-5.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.6pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Lexington EU Bookmakers 34%
-12% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.38/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.51
+4% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
17.0 Crosses 16.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Paso Locomotive
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Lexington
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 1.89
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
330 Passes 396
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 4
12.10.2025 Lexington Lexington 1-2 HT 0-2 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
06.04.2025 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 2-1 HT 2-0 Lexington Lexington USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Paso Locomotive
1-4
AWAY Lexington
1.04 xG 2.94
8 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
291 Passes 417
8 Box Touches 34
4 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH El Paso Locomotive vs Lexington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lexington ran out comfortable winners over El Paso Locomotive 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Lexington found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 8-22, expected goals 1.04 to 2.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, El Paso Locomotive had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for El Paso Locomotive and 1.00 for Lexington.

What was the final score of El Paso Locomotive vs Lexington?

El Paso Locomotive 1-4 Lexington in the USL Championship on 31/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Paso Locomotive vs Lexington?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Paso Locomotive win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split El Paso Locomotive 37%, draw 26%, Lexington 37%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
31 May 2026
01:00 Charleston Battery vs Detroit City Analysis →
02:00 Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island Analysis →
02:00 Hartford Athletic vs New Mexico United Analysis →
02:00 Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Miami FC Analysis →
02:00 Louisville City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Analysis →
03:00 Oakland Roots vs Colorado Springs Analysis →